This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Mexico
· Politics
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? (Resolved)
Yes
$6.2M Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
When does the U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? (Resolved)?
Traders have put $20.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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