Politics · drugs

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30? (Resolved)

$20.2K Volume
30/11/2025 00:00
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Yes
$145.6K Volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.

Only direct U.S. participation, which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

When does the U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30? (Resolved)?
$20.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

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