Politics · Geopolitics

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July? (Resolved)

$20.2K Volume
30/06/2025 12:00
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Yes
$48.7K Volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conducts a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.

Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

When does the U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before July? (Resolved)?
$20.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

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