Turkey · Elections

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

View on Polymarket

$7.3K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.

Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.

If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Yes is priced at 6% and No at 94%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 6% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $7.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.