Proposition 1 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to borrow a record $11.25 billion for affordable housing, with $10 billion to buy, build, rehabilitate and preserve affordable homes and $1.25 billion to help veterans buy homes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition?
Traders are split - 47% for Yes versus 53% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition?
Traders give Yes a 47% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (117 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition?
Total turnover stands at $50. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
