This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Moonshot
$21.4K Volume
56%
Z.ai
$8.9K Volume
30%
Alibaba
$4.7K Volume
12%
Baidu
$2.9K Volume
3%
Meituan
$894 Volume
1%
Tencent
$2.2K Volume
1%
MiniMax
$2.7K Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$3.5K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$2.5K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$3K Volume
1%
StepFun
$1.3K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
No runaway leader here - Moonshot at 56% versus Other at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Traders give Moonshot a 56% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September market resolve?
Mark 30 Sep 2026 (39 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
$9.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
November 3081%YesNo
October 3157%YesNo
No release by August 3193%YesNo
August 272%YesNo
October 3177%YesNo
September 3064%YesNo




