This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
On or prior to August 1
$44 Volume
8%
August 2
$274 Volume
11%
August 3
$141 Volume
11%
August 4
$79 Volume
19%
August 5
$377 Volume
28%
August 6
$177 Volume
11%
August 7
$377 Volume
17%
August 8
$177 Volume
54%
August 9
$186 Volume
54%
August 10
$235 Volume
55%
August 11
$136 Volume
94%
August 12
$176 Volume
65%
August 13
$177 Volume
77%
August 14
$177 Volume
50%
August 15
$177 Volume
63%
August 16
$177 Volume
63%
August 17
$177 Volume
41%
August 18
$177 Volume
39%
August 19
$177 Volume
37%
August 20
$177 Volume
62%
August 21
$172 Volume
85%
August 22
$172 Volume
68%
August 23
$177 Volume
37%
August 24
$177 Volume
30%
August 25
$177 Volume
73%
August 26
$145 Volume
67%
August 27
$211 Volume
38%
August 28
$177 Volume
43%
August 29
$177 Volume
15%
August 30
$177 Volume
23%
No release by August 31
$285 Volume
38%
August 31
$177 Volume
23%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
It's a genuine race: August 11 edges the field at 47%, barely ahead of August 21 at 43%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
At 47% implied for August 11, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (33 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
$6.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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