Science · Weather

Precipitation in Seattle in July?

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$1.8K Volume

31/07/2026 23:59

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Past

Jun 30 May 31 Apr 30 Mar 31 Feb 28

Jul 31

<0.5"

$737 Volume

90%

0.5-1"

$238 Volume

10%

1-1.5"

$184 Volume

11%

1.5-2"

$147 Volume

2-2.5"

$2K Volume

2.5-3"

$146 Volume

>3"

$183 Volume

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in Seattle in July?

<0.5" dominates the field at 88%; the nearest challenger, 1-1.5", trades at just 7%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in Seattle in July?

Traders price <0.5" at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Precipitation in Seattle in July market resolve?

Mark 31 Jul 2026 (6 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in Seattle in July?

$1.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Precipitation in Seattle in July on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.