Science · Weather

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

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$47 Volume

31/07/2026 00:00

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400-425mm

72%

425-450mm

92%

450-475mm

72%

475-500mm

$26 Volume

67%

500-525mm

82%

525-550mm

75%

550-575mm

91%

575-600mm

74%

<400mm

$5 Volume

68%

600mm+

$16 Volume

47%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

No runaway leader here - 425-450mm at 48% versus 550-575mm at 47%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Traders give 425-450mm a 48% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Precipitation in Hong Kong in July market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 31 Jul 2026 (21 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

$47 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Precipitation in Hong Kong in July on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.