This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in July, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for July 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of July 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
30-40mm
$233 Volume
8%
40-50mm
$1.5K Volume
10%
50-60mm
$132 Volume
1%
60-70mm
$201 Volume
10%
70-80mm
$1.3K Volume
5%
<30mm
$1.3K Volume
67%
80mm+
$143 Volume
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm leads the field at 66%, with 40-50mm next at 8%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Precipitation in London in July?
The market makes <30mm the favorite at 66%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Precipitation in London in July market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Jul 2026 (16 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Precipitation in London in July?
$4.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Precipitation in London in July on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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