A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
National Party
$8.9K Volume
55%
Labour Party
$5K Volume
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1.3K Volume
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1.3K Volume
1%
Green Party
$542 Volume
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
The current front-runner is National Party at 54%, ahead of Labour Party at 41%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
Traders currently imply a 54% chance for National Party. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the New Zealand Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $18.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade New Zealand Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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