A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
National Party
$6.2K Volume
68%
Labour Party
$2.1K Volume
28%
New Zealand First Party
$1K Volume
5%
Te Pāti Māori
$760 Volume
1%
ACT New Zealand
$795 Volume
1%
Green Party
$412 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
The money is on National Party at 68%; Labour Party follows at 28%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
The market makes National Party the favorite at 68%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the New Zealand Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
Mark 7 Nov 2026 (121 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
Total turnover stands at $11.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade New Zealand Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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