A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Christopher Luxon
$2.2K Volume
45%
Chris Hipkins
$3.8K Volume
39%
Nicola Willis
$1.5K Volume
6%
Winston Peters
$1.3K Volume
3%
Chlöe Swarbrick
$1K Volume
2%
Carmel Sepuloni
$967 Volume
1%
David Seymour
$854 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Even the leader is cheap - Christopher Luxon trades at 45%, Chris Hipkins at 38%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
No strong consensus yet: Christopher Luxon tops the implied probabilities at just 45%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Next Prime Minister of New Zealand market resolve?
The market runs until 7 Nov 2026 (121 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
$11.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Next Prime Minister of New Zealand on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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