Politics · Elections

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

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$157.4K Volume

08/11/2026 04:59

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Christopher Luxon

$47.5K Volume

48%

Chris Hipkins

$43.6K Volume

47%

Winston Peters

$8.8K Volume

Nicola Willis

$15.5K Volume

Chlöe Swarbrick

$8.3K Volume

David Seymour

$16.2K Volume

Carmel Sepuloni

$17.4K Volume

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

The current front-runner is Christopher Luxon at 48%, ahead of Chris Hipkins at 47%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Traders currently imply a 48% chance for Christopher Luxon. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Next Prime Minister of New Zealand market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 8 Nov 2026 (5 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Total traded volume on this market is $157.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Next Prime Minister of New Zealand on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.