A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 New Zealand general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of enrolled voters (votes cast to electors on master roll, combined total of General and Māori electorate).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
<76%
$1K Volume
7%
76-78%
$4.2K Volume
28%
78-80%
$7.2K Volume
37%
80-82%
$5.4K Volume
24%
82-84%
$1.3K Volume
1%
84%+
$807 Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: Turnout?
The current front-runner is 78-80% at 37%, ahead of 76-78% at 28%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for New Zealand Election: Turnout?
Traders currently imply a 37% chance for 78-80%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the New Zealand Election: Turnout market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on New Zealand Election: Turnout?
Total traded volume on this market is $19.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade New Zealand Election: Turnout on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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