Politics · NZ

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

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$17.9K Volume

07/11/2026 00:00

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<25

$1K Volume

25-29

$715 Volume

30-34

$5.6K Volume

39%

35-39

$3.8K Volume

29%

40-44

$5.7K Volume

27%

45-49

$587 Volume

50+

$485 Volume

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

The current front-runner is 30-34 at 39%, ahead of 35-39 at 29%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Traders currently imply a 39% chance for 30-34. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the NZ Election: National Party # of seats market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Total traded volume on this market is $17.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade NZ Election: National Party # of seats on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.