Politics · NZ

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

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$7.8K Volume

07/11/2026 00:00

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<25

$434 Volume

25-29

$224 Volume

30-34

$1.6K Volume

14%

35-39

$1.7K Volume

27%

40-44

$3.3K Volume

33%

45-49

$269 Volume

50+

$206 Volume

20%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

The field is wide open: 40-44 tops it at just 32%, with 35-39 close behind at 27%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.

What do traders predict for NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

No strong consensus yet: 40-44 tops the implied probabilities at just 32%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the NZ Election: National Party # of seats market resolve?

Mark 7 Nov 2026 (119 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Traders have put $7.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade NZ Election: National Party # of seats on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.