A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
New Zealand First Party
$5.1K Volume
62%
Green Party
$5.6K Volume
37%
ACT New Zealand
$709 Volume
4%
National Party
$415 Volume
4%
Labour Party
$1.1K Volume
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
The current front-runner is New Zealand First Party at 62%, ahead of Green Party at 37%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
Traders currently imply a 62% chance for New Zealand First Party. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the New Zealand Election: 3rd Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (74 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $13.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade New Zealand Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.






