A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
New Zealand First Party
$1.3K Volume
55%
Green Party
$531 Volume
34%
Labour Party
$495 Volume
6%
National Party
$355 Volume
9%
Te Pāti Māori
$333 Volume
1%
ACT New Zealand
$518 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
It's a genuine race: New Zealand First Party edges the field at 55%, barely ahead of Green Party at 34%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
At 55% implied for New Zealand First Party, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the New Zealand Election: 3rd Place market resolve?
Mark 7 Nov 2026 (121 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on New Zealand Election: 3rd Place?
Total turnover stands at $3.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade New Zealand Election: 3rd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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