National Party
$8.9K Kiasi
55%
Labour Party
$5K Kiasi
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1.3K Kiasi
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1.3K Kiasi
1%
Green Party
$542 Kiasi
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1.2K Kiasi
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
The current front-runner is National Party at 54%, ahead of Labour Party at 41%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
Traders currently imply a 54% chance for National Party. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the New Zealand Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (Siku 74 zimebaki). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on New Zealand Election: 2nd Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $18.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade New Zealand Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Masoko Yanayofanana
35-3935%NdiyoHapana
40-4424%NdiyoHapana
National + ACT + NZF39%NdiyoHapana
Labour + Green26%NdiyoHapana
New Zealand First Party62%NdiyoHapana
Green Party37%NdiyoHapana
Chris Hipkins51%NdiyoHapana
Christopher Luxon44%NdiyoHapana
30-3439%NdiyoHapana35-3929%NdiyoHapana
Labour Party57%NdiyoHapana
National Party43%NdiyoHapanaLabour56%
National44%
78-80%37%NdiyoHapana76-78%28%NdiyoHapana
