Politics · Lebanon

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

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$1.1K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Yes is priced at 12% and No at 89%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 12% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $1.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.