This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
August 31
$19.9K Volume
5%
Resolved 4
May 31
$2.8K Volume
No
June 7
$21.1K Volume
No
June 30
$45.8K Volume
No
July 31
$11.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli forces enter Tyre by?
The market prices Yes at only 4%, with No at 97%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Israeli forces enter Tyre by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 4% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Israeli forces enter Tyre by market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Israeli forces enter Tyre by?
Total turnover stands at $100.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Israeli forces enter Tyre by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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