This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
June 30
$36.6K Volume
1%
July 31
$19 Volume
10%
Resolved 1
May 31
$11.2K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israeli forces enter Beirut by?
The front-runner right now is July 31 at 8%, ahead of June 30 at 1%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Israeli forces enter Beirut by?
The market gives July 31 a 8% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Israeli forces enter Beirut by market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Jul 2026 (31 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Israeli forces enter Beirut by?
Total traded volume on this market is $47.8K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Israeli forces enter Beirut by on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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