This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
21°C or below
$167 Volume
35%
22°C
$130 Volume
36%
23°C
$58 Volume
22%
24°C
$11 Volume
10%
25°C
$159 Volume
4%
26°C
$521 Volume
1%
27°C
$513 Volume
1%
28°C
$506 Volume
1%
29°C
$572 Volume
1%
30°C
$907 Volume
1%
31°C or higher
$664 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 12?
Even the leader is cheap - 22°C trades at 36%, 21°C or below at 35%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 12?
No strong consensus yet: 22°C tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Paris on July 12 market resolve?
The market runs until 12 Jul 2026 (2 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Paris on July 12?
$24.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Paris on July 12 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
33°C99%YesNo
31°C1%YesNo
29°C96%YesNo
30°C1%YesNo
88-89°F40%YesNo
86-87°F35%YesNo
33°C99%YesNo
34°C1%YesNo
32°C99%YesNo
33°C1%YesNo
35°C99%YesNo
33°C3%YesNo
27°C or below99%YesNo
36°C1%YesNo
30°C99%YesNo
34°C1%YesNo
