Weather · Paris

Highest temperature in Paris on July 12?

$121.9K Volume
12/07/2026 12:00
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33°C or below
$710 Volume
4%
34°C
$287 Volume
7%
35°C
$632 Volume
24%
36°C
$4.3K Volume
37%
37°C
$528 Volume
31%
38°C
$276 Volume
8%
39°C
$421 Volume
3%
40°C
$1.3K Volume
1%
41°C
$814 Volume
1%
42°C
$306 Volume
1%
43°C or higher
$536 Volume
1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Paris on July 12?
The field is wide open: 36°C tops it at just 35%, with 37°C close behind at 30%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Paris on July 12?
No strong consensus yet: 36°C tops the implied probabilities at just 35%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Paris on July 12 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 12 Jul 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Paris on July 12?
$121.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Paris on July 12 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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