This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
17°C or below
$647 Volume
1%
18°C
$234 Volume
2%
19°C
$131 Volume
5%
20°C
$177 Volume
10%
21°C
$2.5K Volume
35%
22°C
$3.3K Volume
40%
23°C
$220 Volume
15%
24°C
$389 Volume
1%
25°C
$329 Volume
1%
26°C
$272 Volume
1%
27°C or higher
$762 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 11?
Even the leader is cheap - 22°C trades at 39%, 21°C at 34%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Paris on July 11?
No strong consensus yet: 22°C tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Paris on July 11 market resolve?
Mark 11 Jul 2026 (2 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Paris on July 11?
$27.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Paris on July 11 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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