Politics · Global Elections

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

$214.4K Volume
23/04/2027 00:00
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Marine Le Pen
$96.1K Volume
92%
Jordan Bardella
$88.7K Volume
6%
Multiple Candidates
$29.6K Volume
1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.

If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.

If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for 2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate?
At 92%, Marine Le Pen has pulled far clear of Jordan Bardella (6%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for 2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate?
With 92% implied for Marine Le Pen, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the 2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate market resolve?
The market runs until 23 Apr 2027 (288 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on 2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate?
$214.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade 2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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