This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$255 Volume
1%
20-39
$52 Volume
1%
40-59
$341 Volume
1%
60-79
$61 Volume
1%
80-99
$46 Volume
5%
100-119
$412 Volume
10%
120-139
$701 Volume
15%
140-159
$107 Volume
24%
160-179
$324 Volume
20%
180-199
$112 Volume
13%
200+
$157 Volume
25%
Resolution Source: truthsocial.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
The field is wide open: 200+ tops it at just 25%, with 140-159 close behind at 22%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 200+ at 25% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Aug 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $31.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 21 - August 28, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
December 3168%YesNo
October 3152%YesNo
March 31, 202776%YesNo
December 31, 202658%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro82%YesNo
Delcy Rodríguez9%YesNo
No Meeting by September 3074%YesNo
Switzerland11%YesNo
September 3059%YesNo
August 3124%YesNo
No meeting before 202792%YesNo
Switzerland3%YesNo
