This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
<0.0%
$1.7K Volume
12%
0.0-0.1%
$5.5K Volume
22%
0.2-0.3%
$10.3K Volume
61%
0.4-0.5%
$1.6K Volume
18%
0.6-0.7%
$913 Volume
1%
0.8%+
$790 Volume
4%
Resolution Source: www150.statcan.gc.ca
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)?
No runaway leader here - 0.2-0.3% at 59% versus 0.0-0.1% at 21%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)?
Traders give 0.2-0.3% a 59% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 28 Aug 2026 (5 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)?
Traders have put $154 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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