This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Past
<0.0%
$974 Volume
1%
0.0-0.3%
$760 Volume
2%
0.4-0.7%
$3.6K Volume
43%
0.8-1.1%
$26.6K Volume
51%
1.2-1.5%
$1.3K Volume
14%
1.6-1.9%
$742 Volume
1%
2.0%+
$681 Volume
7%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
It's a genuine race: 0.8-1.1% edges the field at 49%, barely ahead of 0.4-0.7% at 38%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Traders give 0.8-1.1% a 49% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Oct 2026 (68 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Traders have put $4.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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