GDP · Brazil

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

$234 Volume
01/09/2026 23:59
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Past
Sep 1
<0.0%
$1.5K Volume
1%
0.0%–0.2%
$3.9K Volume
46%
0.3%–0.5%
$21.6K Volume
57%
0.6%–0.8%
$15.9K Volume
6%
0.9%–1.1%
$6.6K Volume
1%
1.2%–1.4%
$3.2K Volume
1%
≥1.5%
$1.2K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html

If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
No runaway leader here - 0.3%–0.5% at 54% versus 0.0%–0.2% at 44%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Traders give 0.3%–0.5% a 54% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ) market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Traders have put $234 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ) on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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