This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
Past
<3.4%
$233 Volume
1%
3.4-3.7%
$225 Volume
1%
3.7-4.0%
$243 Volume
1%
4.0-4.3%
$623 Volume
15%
4.3-4.6%
$835 Volume
46%
4.6-4.9%
$5.3K Volume
39%
4.9-5.2%
$359 Volume
10%
5.2-5.5%
$233 Volume
3%
5.5%+
$402 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 4.3-4.6% trades at 44%, 4.6-4.9% at 38%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 4.3-4.6% at 44% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026 market resolve?
Mark 20 Oct 2026 (87 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
Traders have put $1.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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