AI · Tech

Best AI model on July 11?

$181 Volume
11/07/2026 23:59
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claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$4.6K Volume
98%
claude-fable-5
$4.6K Volume
5%
Other
$2.5K Volume
5%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$1.6K Volume
1%
claude-opus-4-6
$1.6K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Best AI model on July 11?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, claude-fable-5, trades at just 3%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Best AI model on July 11?
With 96% implied for claude-opus-4-6-thinking, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Best AI model on July 11 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 11 Jul 2026 (3 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Best AI model on July 11?
Total turnover stands at $181. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Best AI model on July 11 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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