This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Hugo Gaston.
This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Daniil Medvedev.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston
ATP
Hugo Gaston424
Daniil Medvedev666Final
Game context
Daniil Medvedev enters the 2026 US Open first round on outdoor hard courts after a challenging hard-court stretch that includes early exits in Montreal and Cincinnati plus a second-round loss in Winston-Salem, leaving him with just one win in his last five matches. The No. 7 seed and former champion still carries a strong overall hard-court record and leads the head-to-head 1-0 against Gaston from their 2021 indoor meeting. Hugo Gaston, ranked near No. 88-91, arrives via three qualifying wins, including a comeback victory, and sits on a modest recent streak, though he has limited main-draw success at Flushing Meadows. Medvedev’s superior ranking, serve, and experience on the surface shape the primary context, while Gaston’s left-handed variety and qualifier momentum represent the main variables in this opening-round matchup.
Moneyline
$151.6K Vol.Match Completed
$218 Vol.Set Winner
$16.2K Vol.US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 Winner
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 Winner
1st Set Winner
$269 Vol.Set Total
$151 Vol.US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 3.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 4.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$556 Vol.US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 36.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 38.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 40.5
More Bets
$5 Vol.US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-8.5
Daniil Medvedev 3-0
Daniil Medvedev 3-1
Daniil Medvedev 3-2
Hugo Gaston 3-0
Hugo Gaston 3-1
Hugo Gaston 3-2
Not Completed
1st Set Total
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$976 Vol.US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.5
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-2.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 99%, ahead of US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner at 99%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston?
Total traded volume on this market is $11.2M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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