This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
200-219
$883 Volume
19%
180-199
$1K Volume
17%
220-239
$2.3K Volume
14%
240-259
$552 Volume
11%
160-179
$616 Volume
11%
260-279
$640 Volume
7%
120-139
$613 Volume
8%
140-159
$452 Volume
9%
100-119
$702 Volume
7%
280-299
$540 Volume
3%
300-319
$547 Volume
2%
320-339
$433 Volume
1%
80-99
$1.4K Volume
1%
340-359
$1.4K Volume
1%
360-379
$1K Volume
1%
60-79
$465 Volume
1%
380-399
$412 Volume
1%
400-419
$910 Volume
1%
<20
$13.4K Volume
1%
20-39
$8.6K Volume
1%
40-59
$7.5K Volume
1%
420-439
$21.6K Volume
1%
440-459
$10.6K Volume
1%
460-479
$16.6K Volume
1%
480-499
$10.5K Volume
1%
500+
$25.8K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
The field is wide open: 200-219 tops it at just 19%, with 180-199 close behind at 17%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 200-219 at 19% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 14 Jul 2026 (11 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
$1.3M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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