Politics · french

France United Left Primary Winner

$210.5K Volume
11/10/2026 00:00
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Canceled
$75.1K Volume
94%
François Ruffin
$31.1K Volume
2%
Clémentine Autain
$7.4K Volume
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49.6K Volume
1%
Lydie Massard
$43.2K Volume
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4.2K Volume
1%

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.

This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.

If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for France United Left Primary Winner?
Canceled dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, François Ruffin, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for France United Left Primary Winner?
With 94% implied for Canceled, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the France United Left Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 11 Oct 2026 (48 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on France United Left Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $210.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade France United Left Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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