The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Canceled
$45.2K Volume
69%
Marine Tondelier
$44.6K Volume
19%
François Ruffin
$29.1K Volume
13%
Clémentine Autain
$5.1K Volume
1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$800 Volume
1%
Lydie Massard
$5.1K Volume
1%
Analysis & News
France or Spain? Inside the $1.8 Billion World Cup Winner Market
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for France United Left Primary Winner?
Canceled leads the field at 68%, with Marine Tondelier next at 18%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for France United Left Primary Winner?
Traders lean toward Canceled, pricing it at 68%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the France United Left Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 11 Oct 2026 (93 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on France United Left Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $129.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade France United Left Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
JD Vance20%YesNo
Marco Rubio14%YesNo
Marine Le Pen27%YesNo
Édouard Philippe27%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro23%YesNo
Nigel Farage90%YesNo
Count Binface8%YesNo
J.D. Vance40%YesNoMarco Rubio26%YesNo
AfD78%YesNo
SPD20%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot40%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu39%YesNo
United Russia (ER)55%YesNo
New People (NL)40%YesNo
