This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes is priced at 2% and No at 98%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Traders currently imply a 2% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.1M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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