Trump · Crypto

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

$120 Volume
31/12/2026 23:59
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain. Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify. The public announcement confirming the transaction must occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the transaction itself took place. For purposes of this market, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 17%, with No at 84%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 17% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
Traders have put $120 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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