This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.
If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.
If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
December 31, 2026
$30.5K Volume
3%
Resolved 1
December 31
$84.3K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
Yes is priced at 3% and No at 97%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
Traders currently imply a 3% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___ market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
Total traded volume on this market is $114.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___ on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
December 3125%YesNo
October 3114%YesNo
China55%YesNo
No meeting by December 3142%YesNo
Lara Trump38%YesNo
Scott Jennings36%YesNo
December 314%YesNo
March 311%YesNo
October 3150%YesNo
December 3150%YesNo
December 31, 202629%YesNo
August 31, 20263%YesNo
