This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Politics
· Culture
· Trump
Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?
Megyn Kelly
$3.8K Volume
9%
Pope Leo XIV
$11.1K Volume
2%
Pam Bondi
$1.7K Volume
1%
Melania Trump
$4.2K Volume
1%
Tucker Carlson
$5.1K Volume
11%
J.D. Vance
$4.7K Volume
1%
Viktor Orbán
$3.8K Volume
1%
Zohran Mamdani
$2.5K Volume
5%
Alex Jones
$203 Volume
3%
Vladimir Putin
$3K Volume
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$6K Volume
32%
Xi Jinping
$20.1K Volume
1%
Keir Starmer
$3.8K Volume
10%
Elon Musk
$2.9K Volume
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$10.7K Volume
82%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$2.9K Volume
1%
Freidrich Merz
$2.4K Volume
15%
Emmanuel Macron
$764 Volume
4%
Keir Starmer
33%
Kaitlan Collins
$304 Volume
3%
Mohammed bin Salman
$614 Volume
1%
Resolved 6
Barack Obama
$6.2K Volume
Yes
Candace Owens
$2.7K Volume
Yes
Joe Biden
$37.9K Volume
Yes
Jerome Powell
$3.6K Volume
Yes
Jimmy Kimmel
$185 Volume
Yes
Norah O'Donnell
$1K Volume
Yes
About This Market
Similar Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 83¢No 17¢
July 31
Yes 72¢No 28¢

Iran ceasefire continues through...?
May 24
Yes 99¢No 1¢
May 25
Yes 99¢No 1¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Yes 19¢No 81¢
Yes 16¢No 84¢

Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢
June 15
Yes 29¢No 71¢

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Yes 64¢No 36¢
Yes 36¢No 64¢

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Yes 35¢No 65¢
Yes 23¢No 77¢

Elon Musk # tweets May 19 - May 26, 2026?
260-279
Yes 56¢No 44¢
280-299
Yes 33¢No 67¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Yes 24¢No 76¢
Yes 9¢No 91¢