This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Politics
· Trump
· Culture
Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?
Barack Obama
$8.6K Volume
38%
Tucker Carlson
$369 Volume
30%
Nicolás Maduro
$4.3K Volume
44%
Keir Starmer
$498 Volume
31%
Zohran Mamdani
$304 Volume
27%
Candace Owens
$85 Volume
16%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$2.4K Volume
20%
Megyn Kelly
$224 Volume
8%
Alex Jones
$45 Volume
6%
Pope Leo XIV
$9.7K Volume
4%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$17.2K Volume
3%
Viktor Orbán
$6.4K Volume
1%
Pam Bondi
$3.2K Volume
3%
Elon Musk
$4K Volume
1%
Vladimir Putin
$7.3K Volume
2%
Xi Jinping
$22K Volume
1%
Melania Trump
$22.3K Volume
1%
J.D. Vance
$12.6K Volume
1%
7 Options resolved