This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Politics
· Culture
· Trump
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
Jimmy Kimmel
$37.7K Volume
50%
Nicolás Maduro
$1.6K Volume
38%
Alex Jones
$269 Volume
30%
Keir Starmer
$849 Volume
22%
Megyn Kelly
$359 Volume
20%
Norah O'Donnell
$456 Volume
19%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$64.6K Volume
17%
Emmanuel Macron
$3.7K Volume
15%
Zohran Mamdani
$965 Volume
10%
Freidrich Merz
$5.7K Volume
10%
Pope Leo XIV
$5.4K Volume
9%
Pam Bondi
$2.7K Volume
7%
Elon Musk
$2.7K Volume
6%
Vladimir Putin
$1.8K Volume
4%
Mohammed bin Salman
$1.4K Volume
4%
J.D. Vance
$4.3K Volume
4%
Viktor Orbán
$3.6K Volume
1%
Xi Jinping
$8.9K Volume
1%
Melania Trump
$4K Volume
1%
Resolved 7
Tucker Carlson
$114.8K Volume
Yes
Candace Owens
$125.2K Volume
Yes
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$282.8K Volume
Yes
Kaitlan Collins
$1.8K Volume
Yes
Joe Biden
$2.4K Volume
Yes
Barack Obama
$17.5K Volume
Yes
Jerome Powell
$8K Volume
Yes
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