Trump · Culture

Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

$207.8K Volume
31/08/2026 23:59
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Barack Obama
$1.7K Volume
97%
Nicolás Maduro
97%
Candace Owens
$303 Volume
74%
Tucker Carlson
$203 Volume
90%
Andy Burnham
$1K Volume
16%
Kaitlan Collins
$361 Volume
72%
Emmanuel Macron
$734 Volume
15%
Alex Jones
$1K Volume
64%
Zohran Mamdani
50%
Vladimir Putin
$26 Volume
39%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
97%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$102 Volume
30%
Elon Musk
$876 Volume
7%
Jerome Powell
$20 Volume
85%
Friedrich Merz
$522 Volume
8%
Norah O'Donnell
$1K Volume
10%
Kevin Warsh
7%
Pope Leo XIV
$2.1K Volume
7%
Xi Jinping
$279 Volume
6%
Jimmy Kimmel
94%
Viktor Orbán
5%
Mohammed bin Salman
5%
Pam Bondi
4%
Megyn Kelly
$2 Volume
95%
J.D. Vance
$529 Volume
5%
Melania Trump
$2.9K Volume
2%
Resolved 1
Joe Biden
$2.7K Volume
Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.

Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.

A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").

A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
At 95%, Barack Obama has pulled far clear of Nicolás Maduro (68%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Traders price Barack Obama at a 95% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (31 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?
Total turnover stands at $207.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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