This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
<1.0%
$943 Volume
1%
1.0–1.4%
$1.3K Volume
3%
1.5–1.9%
$1.9K Volume
7%
2.0–2.4%
$4.2K Volume
6%
2.5–2.9%
$18K Volume
24%
3.0–3.4%
50%
3.5–3.9%
$28.2K Volume
23%
4.0-4.4%
$5.7K Volume
10%
4.5%+
$7.9K Volume
8%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 2.5–2.9% trades at 24%, 3.5–3.9% at 22%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 2.5–2.9% tops the implied probabilities at just 24%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 20 Jan 2027 (150 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on U.K. Annual Inflation 2026?
Traders have put $6.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
No change63%YesNo
25 bps increase28%YesNo
No change72%YesNo
25 bps increase25%YesNo
No change61%YesNo
25 bps increase21%YesNo
Above 4.5%14%YesNo
Above 5%8%YesNo
1.8-2.0%63%YesNo
1.5-1.7%36%YesNo
3.4%44%YesNo
3.3%27%YesNo
No change93%YesNo
25 bps increase6%YesNo
5.1%+48%YesNo
5.0%23%YesNo
