This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Above 4.5%
$131.6K Volume
24%
Above 5%
$286.3K Volume
16%
Above 6%
$61.3K Volume
8%
Above 8%
$41.4K Volume
2%
Above 10%
$52.8K Volume
3%
Resolved 3
Above 3%
$280K Volume
Yes
Above 4%
$292.4K Volume
Yes
Above 3.5%
$176.7K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How high will inflation get in 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - Above 4.5% trades at 23%, Above 5% at 15%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for How high will inflation get in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Above 4.5% tops the implied probabilities at just 23%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the How high will inflation get in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (160 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on How high will inflation get in 2026?
Traders have put $1.3M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How high will inflation get in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
October Meeting70%YesNo
September Meeting61%YesNo
2.8-3.0%31%YesNo
3.1%+26%YesNo
3.4%41%YesNo
3.3%30%YesNo
≥0.1%66%YesNo
0.0%24%YesNo
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)63%YesNo
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)24%YesNo
4.1-4.4%31%YesNo
3.8-4.1%20%YesNo
↑ $4.2555%YesNo
↑ $4.506%YesNo
0.6 – 1.0%43%YesNo
1.1 – 1.5%42%YesNo
