This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Past
≤2.9%
$714 Volume
1%
3.0%
$624 Volume
1%
3.1%
$739 Volume
3%
3.2%
$914 Volume
8%
3.3%
$6.8K Volume
28%
3.4%
$8.7K Volume
45%
3.5%
$4.2K Volume
23%
3.6%
$577 Volume
5%
3.7%
$554 Volume
1%
3.8%
$656 Volume
3%
3.9%
$750 Volume
1%
≥4.0%
$635 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for August Inflation US - Annual?
Even the leader is cheap - 3.4% trades at 44%, 3.3% at 27%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for August Inflation US - Annual?
Right now the market's best guess is 3.4% at 44% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the August Inflation US - Annual market resolve?
The market runs until 11 Sep 2026 (20 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on August Inflation US - Annual?
Total turnover stands at $2.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade August Inflation US - Annual on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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