This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Moonshot
$3.1K Volume
91%
ByteDance
$954 Volume
1%
OpenAI
$3.8K Volume
19%
Z.ai
$1.5K Volume
8%
Anthropic
$1.1K Volume
1%
Google
$363 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$612 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$1K Volume
1%
Nvidia
$622 Volume
1%
Amazon
$323 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$733 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$315 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$669 Volume
1%
Baidu
$592 Volume
1%
Mistral
$450 Volume
1%
Meituan
$336 Volume
1%
Meta
$378 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$489 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
At 86%, Moonshot has pulled far clear of Other (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Traders price Moonshot at a 86% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (9 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Traders have put $9.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Second-best AI Agent Lab end of August on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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