This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Moonshot
$1.8K Volume
70%
OpenAI
$10K Volume
30%
Anthropic
$2K Volume
7%
Z.ai
$349 Volume
4%
Google
$384 Volume
30%
SpaceXAI
$555 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$379 Volume
1%
Meta
$309 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$1.6K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$339 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$289 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$364 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$219 Volume
1%
Baidu
$289 Volume
1%
Amazon
$289 Volume
1%
Mistral
$611 Volume
1%
Meituan
$282 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$370 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
No runaway leader here - Moonshot at 62% versus Other at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
At 62% implied for Moonshot, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (39 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
$9.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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