The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Benedita da Silva
$6.9K Volume
57%
Carlos Jordy
$2.6K Volume
23%
Carlos Portinho
$1.6K Volume
7%
Pedro Paulo
$891 Volume
5%
Marcelo Crivella
$377 Volume
12%
Marcos Dias
$404 Volume
10%
Monica Benicio
$393 Volume
9%
Ó Clemente
$840 Volume
4%
Paula Falcão
$340 Volume
5%
Luiz Eugenio
$444 Volume
1%
Vinicius Benevides
$375 Volume
1%
Waguinho
$388 Volume
1%
André Monteiro
$557 Volume
1%
Helio Secco
$340 Volume
1%
Luciano Mattos
$192 Volume
1%
Michelly Xavier
$333 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place?
It's a genuine race: Benedita da Silva edges the field at 57%, barely ahead of Candidate A at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders give Benedita da Silva a 57% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
Mark 4 Oct 2026 (42 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders have put $16.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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