This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Tech
· AI
· Gemini
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
June 26
$1.8K Volume
7%
June 13
$1.6K Volume
1%
June 23
$814 Volume
10%
June 24
$472 Volume
4%
On or prior to June 2
$646 Volume
1%
June 8
$436 Volume
1%
June 10
$771 Volume
1%
June 20
$462 Volume
1%
June 3
$1.2K Volume
1%
June 4
$7.5K Volume
1%
June 5
$1.1K Volume
1%
June 6
$984 Volume
1%
June 15
$454 Volume
1%
June 21
$509 Volume
1%
June 25
$407 Volume
1%
June 7
$740 Volume
1%
June 9
$2.1K Volume
8%
June 11
$830 Volume
7%
June 12
$580 Volume
5%
June 14
$520 Volume
1%
June 16
$1.5K Volume
8%
June 17
$1.5K Volume
8%
June 18
$980 Volume
9%
June 19
$463 Volume
1%
June 30
$681 Volume
5%
June 22
$681 Volume
2%
June 27
$479 Volume
1%
June 28
$516 Volume
1%
June 29
$401 Volume
1%
No release by June 30
$4.1K Volume
16%
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