This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
0-2
$8K Volume
1%
3-5
$11.8K Volume
1%
6-8
$26.6K Volume
1%
9-11
$27.4K Volume
1%
12+
$27.4K Volume
99%
Odds & FAQ
When does the Will Claude go down on __ days in July? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on Will Claude go down on __ days in July? (Resolved)?
$4.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
Similar Markets
Anthropic98%YesNo
OpenAI2%YesNo
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
October 202674%YesNo
September 202614%YesNo
Anthropic91%YesNoOpenAI5%YesNo
November 3081%YesNo
October 3158%YesNo
Alibaba95%YesNo
Z.ai4%YesNo
October 3184%YesNo
September 3081%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T18%YesNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%YesNo
