This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
0
posts so far
· pace 0
<5
$2.4K Volume
90%
5-9
$647 Volume
8%
10-14
$401 Volume
8%
15-19
$254 Volume
4%
20-24
$242 Volume
4%
25-29
$248 Volume
6%
30-34
$258 Volume
5%
35-39
$236 Volume
1%
40-44
$240 Volume
1%
45-49
$157 Volume
1%
50-54
$247 Volume
1%
55-59
$254 Volume
1%
60+
$294 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
At 90%, <5 has pulled far clear of 5-9 (5%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
With 90% implied for <5, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (4 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
Traders have put $10.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
260-27923%YesNo
240-25921%YesNo
65-8955%YesNo
90-11442%YesNo
240-25917%YesNo
220-23915%YesNo
880-91999%YesNo
920-9591%YesNo
40-6440%YesNo
65-8932%YesNo
120-13925%YesNo
100-11918%YesNo
1000+25%YesNo
840-87910%YesNo
200+76%YesNo
180-19925%YesNo
