This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 24, 12:00 PM ET and July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<5
$602 Volume
39%
5-9
$351 Volume
40%
10-14
44%
15-19
40%
20-24
$80 Volume
8%
25-29
$80 Volume
39%
30-34
$85 Volume
3%
35-39
$80 Volume
15%
40-44
$85 Volume
38%
45-49
$85 Volume
5%
50-54
$80 Volume
2%
55-59
$80 Volume
1%
60+
$80 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Khamenei # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
The field is wide open: <5 tops it at just 36%, with 5-9 close behind at 29%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Khamenei # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: <5 tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Khamenei # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Khamenei # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026?
Traders have put $8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Khamenei # posts July 24 - July 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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