This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$620 Volume
1%
20-39
$620 Volume
1%
40-59
$620 Volume
1%
60-79
$1.7K Volume
1%
80-99
$365 Volume
1%
100-119
$312 Volume
2%
120-139
$241 Volume
4%
140-159
$30 Volume
8%
160-179
$328 Volume
13%
180-199
$315 Volume
16%
200-219
$7 Volume
15%
220-239
$50 Volume
12%
240-259
$20 Volume
12%
260-279
$13 Volume
8%
280-299
$17 Volume
6%
300-319
$20 Volume
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
$5 Volume
2%
360-379
$455 Volume
3%
380-399
$440 Volume
2%
400-419
$320 Volume
1%
420-439
$405 Volume
1%
440-459
$505 Volume
1%
460-479
$55 Volume
1%
480-499
$375 Volume
1%
500+
$470 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - 180-199 trades at 15%, 200-219 at 15%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 180-199 at 15% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (11 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
$1.4M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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